Will BTC Surge Toward $130K or Face a Drop Toward $95K?

On September 4, 2025, Bitcoin is trading near $110,800, showing resilience after recent volatility but still struggling to reclaim the $120,000 barrier. The market is at a pivotal moment, with technical indicators suggesting that the next major move could define the months ahead.

Key Technical Levels

  • Resistance: $120,000 — breaking this level could open the way toward $130,000.
  • Primary Support: $100,000 — a breakdown here may trigger a slide toward $95,000.
  • Long-Term Support: $72,000 — in a severe bearish case, Bitcoin could revisit this structural low.

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Market Outlook

Bitcoin has had a dynamic year, rising from under $80,000 to test highs above $120,000. However, momentum has weakened, and the market now balances between recovery and correction. Analysts highlight two possible scenarios:

  1. Bullish case: If Bitcoin can push through $120,000 with strong trading volume, the rally could extend to $130,000, reinforcing bullish momentum and attracting new institutional buyers.
  2. Bearish case: If BTC loses the $100,000 support, selling pressure may drag the price toward $95,000, with panic-driven moves risking a deeper correction toward $72,000.

September trading could prove decisive. With macroeconomic factors and investor sentiment in flux, Bitcoin’s short-term direction will likely shape its long-term trend into the end of 2025.

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