Weekly Crypto Price Forecast | Bitcoin Consolidates Between $105K–$112K (Nov 3–10, 2025)

As November trading begins, Bitcoin (BTC) continues to move within a narrow corridor between $105K and $112K. Market participants show a clear lack of conviction, with volume dropping and traders awaiting new macro or ETF-related catalysts. The sentiment across exchanges and derivatives remains balanced — neither strongly bullish nor bearish — suggesting that Bitcoin is taking a breather before its next major directional move.


Market Overview

After several volatile months, Bitcoin has entered a consolidation phase. The price has repeatedly tested both the $105K and $112K boundaries but failed to establish a breakout in either direction.
According to TradingView and Glassnode data, realized volatility has declined by nearly 20% week-over-week, while on-chain activity shows reduced whale accumulation and minimal exchange outflows — a classic hallmark of a neutral, indecisive market.

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Momentum indicators further support this view:

  • RSI (daily): Flat near the 50 level, reflecting equilibrium between buyers and sellers.
  • MACD: Whipsaws around the zero line without a clear momentum signal.
  • Volume: Subdued, with intraday spikes being quickly absorbed, typical of range-bound conditions.

Traders across X (formerly Twitter) echo this sentiment — @rektcapital refers to “a healthy mid-cycle pause,” while others like @CryptoTony_ describe it as “a coiled spring waiting for a catalyst.”


Neutral Range Setup: Compression Between $105K and $112K

This week’s base case projects continued horizontal consolidation as Bitcoin builds a value area near $108K.

Why it could happen:

  1. Balanced liquidity: Order books remain symmetric with no visible accumulation bias.
  2. Absence of catalysts: ETF inflows stagnate, and macroeconomic data (CPI, yields) are scheduled later in the month, limiting directional bets.
  3. Market psychology: Traders prefer fading the edges of the range rather than initiating new trends.

Key Technicals

  • Range: $105K (lower band) – $112K (upper band)
  • Signals: Declining realized volatility; RSI steady near 50; MACD flat around zero
  • Strategy Notes: Range traders continue to buy dips near $105K–$106K and sell rallies into $111K–$112K.
  • Risk to View: A confirmed breakout with volume expansion beyond either boundary could rapidly shift structure into a trending regime.

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Technical Structure

The technical chart displays a clear consolidation phase with progressively tighter candles and contracting Bollinger Bands.
The 20-day EMA runs flat near the mid-range (~$108K), confirming equilibrium.
No strong divergence signals are present; however, declining volatility suggests that a larger move could emerge once this compression resolves.


Summary & Weekly Outlook

Bitcoin remains in equilibrium as the market digests prior volatility. The most probable short-term path is continued sideways trading within the $105K–$112K corridor.
A breakout above $112K could revive bullish energy, while a loss of $105K might trigger a quick flush to $100K — but until then, neutrality dominates.

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For continuous coverage and weekly scenario updates, visit our Weekly Crypto Price Forecast section and track evolving setups in real time.


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