Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: Bearish Scenario — Rising Miner Outflows Could Push BTC Toward $70K (Dec 8–14, 2025)

Bitcoin enters the new week under pressure as technical indicators turn bearish and on-chain data reveals rising miner outflows. If support fails at $73,500, BTC could slide toward the $70,800 region.

Bitcoin News

Bitcoin begins the second week of December with deteriorating momentum, marked by declining RSI values, weakening trend strength, and persistent sell pressure from miners and short-term holders. These conditions introduce a credible bearish risk for the coming days.
This forecast is part of our ongoing coverage in the Bitcoin News section.
The setup closely resembles previous mid-cycle corrections that BTCNews.space highlighted in earlier market analyses during 2023 and 2024.

📉 Bearish Technical Signals Strengthen

A cluster of bearish indicators suggests sellers may regain control this week:

RSI Slips Below 45

Momentum loss accelerates as RSI moves into a downward trend — a common precursor to deeper pullbacks.

Price Trading Below EMA20

Falling below the 20-day EMA signals weakness and reduced buying strength. Historically, BTC often tests deeper support levels after losing this moving average.

MACD Turns Negative

The MACD histogram dips into bearish territory, marking the first negative momentum shift since late November.
This indicates declining buyer conviction.

Selling Volume Increasing

Spot selling volume has grown steadily for three consecutive sessions, reinforcing a bearish short-term bias.

According to recent Bitcoin News coverage, BTC experienced similar patterns during the September 2024 correction, which led to a multi-week downturn.

Cross-category link: Ethereum mirrored this type of structure during its 2025 pullback as documented in Ethereum News.

🧭 Pivot Levels That Matter: $73,500 as the Breakdown Trigger

The market currently revolves around several important levels:

Breakdown Zone: $73,500

If BTC closes decisively below $73,500, bearish momentum may accelerate.

Bearish Target: $70,800

This zone aligns with historical support, liquidity clusters, and Fibonacci retracement levels from the November rally.

Risk Scenario

• Breakdown below $73.5K → high probability of 3–6% downside
• Maintaining above $74K → reduces immediate bearish risk
• Reclaiming EMA20 → neutralizes bearish scenario

Traders should closely track order book liquidity, as analysts warn of potential downward liquidity sweeps.

🔗 On-Chain Weakness: Miners + Short-Term Holders Increase Sell Pressure

CryptoQuant data shows a notable shift:

Miner-to-Exchange Inflows Up +12%

This is one of the strongest miner outflow spikes in weeks.
Historically, rising miner transfers have preceded local corrections.

Short-Term Holders Selling Into Strength

STH cohorts are offloading coins at a rising pace, undermining bullish attempts.

Neutral Whale Behavior

Whale activity remains stable — not supportive, not aggressive — leaving the market vulnerable to miner-driven direction.

Earlier BTCNews.space analysis during the April 2024 miner capitulation highlighted how similar inflow surges often foreshadowed 5–10% declines.

🧨 Weekly Outlook: Downside Risk Dominates

If bearish indicators persist:

• RSI stays sub-45
• Price remains below EMA20
• MACD retains negative slope
• Miner outflows continue at elevated levels

…then BTC may struggle to sustain its current range and could revisit the $70,800 zone this week.

Only regaining upward momentum above EMA20 would meaningfully weaken this bearish thesis.

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