Bitcoin Eyes a Bullish Rebound Toward $94K–$101K as Market Enters Reactive Oversold Zone

After days of defensive trading and a sharp breakdown across major technical indicators, Bitcoin is now entering a historically reactive oversold zone — opening the door for a potential rebound toward the $94K–$101K region.

You can see more market updates in our dedicated Bitcoin News section.

Market Overview: Bullish Structure Weakens but Buyers May Return

Bitcoin’s broader structure shifted into risk-off mode following the recent breakdown. Key indicators confirm the weakening momentum:

• RSI (1D) has slid into the 35–40 band — oversold, but not yet showing reversal strength.
• MACD flipped bearish earlier in the week, signaling continued downside momentum.
• Volume expanded during the selloff, indicating distribution rather than panic selling.
• EMAs (20/50/100) all slope downward, with price trading cleanly below them — a structurally bearish posture.
• On-chain flows:
  • CryptoQuant shows rising whale & miner inflows to exchanges — a sign of caution.
  • Glassnode reports declining stablecoin reserves, pointing to weakening buy-side liquidity.

Analysts echo the shift:

• @rektcapital: “BTC has lost mid-range support — the next macro support cluster sits lower.”
• @CryptoTony_: “Below $90K, the market becomes vulnerable to an extended corrective move.”

Despite the pressure, the market is defensive, not capitulated — creating room for a reactive bounce.

Scenario 1 — Bullish Rebound Toward $94K–$101K

A bullish reaction becomes increasingly possible if Bitcoin reclaims the $90K psychological zone with expanding upside volume.

Why a rebound is possible

• RSI is entering a zone that has historically triggered strong market reactions.
• The $85K–$90K macro support area has produced high-energy bounces in previous cycles.
• Derivatives funding rates have reset, removing excessive bullish leverage.
• Select ETF desks reported light inflows on the dip, suggesting early contrarian accumulation.

Key levels to watch

• Support: $85K–$87K
• Resistance:
  • First: $94K
  • Then: $98K
  • Target zone: $101K
• Bullish confirmation signals:
  • RSI reclaiming >45
  • MACD flattening or crossing up
  • OBV stabilizing after distribution pressure

Invalidation level

A daily close below $85K would break this scenario completely and reopen deeper downside risk.

Technical Setup: December Defined by Liquidity Pools

On high-timeframe charts, Bitcoin has decisively broken below the parabolic trendline from 2024, forming:

• A macro lower high → followed by
• A decisive lower low, ending the prior parabola.

Additional signals:

• Bollinger Bands widened aggressively — identifying a volatility spike.
• Liquidity rests near:
  • Below: $82K, $78K
  • Above: $94K, $101K

Whichever liquidity pocket gets taken first will likely define December’s directional bias.

Weekly Outlook: Bulls Need $90K–$92K to Regain Control

The market sits in a fragile recovery phase after one of the strongest corrections in months. For a sustainable rebound:

• Bitcoin must reclaim $90K–$92K to break short-term bearish pressure.
• ETF flow data will be critical after recent heavy outflows.
• Macro sentiment from U.S. equities and yields may decide risk appetite.
• Whale flows + stablecoin liquidity remain the decisive on-chain signals.
• The $85K support reaction will shape early-week momentum.

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