XRP Faces 25% Decline Risk in April as Bearish Pattern and Whale Activity Signal Sell-Off

XRP may drop over 25% in April due to bearish technicals and continued whale selling, raising concerns over short-term stability despite previous multi-year highs.

XRP Price Risks Steep Decline in April as Bearish Pattern Forms and Whales Exit

XRP’s recent momentum may be heading for a significant reversal as both technical analysis and on-chain metrics reveal growing bearish signals. The token has already shed over 35% from its January high of $3.40, and traders are watching April closely as an “inverse cup and handle” chart formation hints at a deeper drop — possibly as steep as 25%.

Technical Breakdown Signals Trouble Ahead

The inverse cup and handle — a classic bearish reversal pattern — is beginning to take shape on XRP’s price chart. This structure mimics an upside-down teacup, first forming a rounded peak followed by a temporary stabilization period. Typically, a breakdown from this formation confirms waning bullish strength and suggests substantial downside risk.

For XRP, the rounded top of the “cup” completed around March 19, followed by a handle forming as price moved sideways between $2.05 and $2.20. Should XRP break below this key support zone, a move down toward $1.58 becomes a real possibility based on the pattern’s measured target.

Volume profile data reinforces this view, showing that the $2.10–$2.20 range is a critical high-volume node — if it fails, the thin support levels below may accelerate the sell-off.

Still, a strong close above the 50-period EMA around $2.14 could invalidate the bearish setup and give bulls a shot at pushing toward the $2.28 mark, where the 200-period EMA sits.

Whale Behavior Adds Bearish Weight

Beyond technical indicators, on-chain analysis adds to the cautionary outlook. According to CryptoQuant’s 90-day whale flow data, large XRP holders have been consistently net sellers since late 2024. This sustained trend of distribution — particularly during Q4’s price surge — points to institutional exit, not accumulation.

The divergence between XRP’s previous rallies and declining whale support could undermine confidence in any near-term bullish recovery.

Broader Market Headwinds

Adding to the bearish pressure are macroeconomic developments. U.S. President Donald Trump’s sweeping global trade tariffs, combined with the Federal Reserve’s cautious policy stance, have dampened investor appetite for risk assets, including crypto. XRP, already under pressure from technical and on-chain signals, may be especially vulnerable as sentiment shifts further into defensive territory.

Unless XRP can regain upward momentum quickly, the convergence of bearish technicals, whale exits, and macro uncertainty may set the stage for a volatile April.

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