Why Bitcoin “Quiet Quarter” Might Be the Start of a Massive Rally

Bitcoin hit a new all-time high despite a slow season. Institutional demand and tight supply hint the bull run is just beginning.

Bitcoin recent price surge—climbing to a record $122,884—has defied seasonal expectations, with analysts arguing that this may only be the beginning of a larger bull cycle.

According to Matt Mena, a strategist at 21Shares, the surge isn’t based on hype or retail FOMO. Instead, it’s supported by powerful fundamentals. Bitcoin’s supply on exchanges and OTC desks has dropped to historic lows, while institutional demand is intensifying. Mena highlights that ETFs are now consuming newly mined BTC faster than miners can produce it.

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Bitfinex analysts further noted that the profile of recent investors has changed. New entrants appear less reactive to price volatility, signaling a maturing investor base. Interestingly, data from Bitwise confirms that public search interest in Bitcoin has not significantly increased—implying that this rally isn’t retail-driven.

While the long-term trend looks solid, Mena cautions that macro risks could temporarily stall progress. Specifically, delays in U.S. interest rate cuts or geopolitical tensions—like a tariff hike under the Trump administration—may cause a short-term dip across high-risk assets, including Bitcoin.

Nonetheless, the tone remains optimistic. As the traditionally slow summer period comes to an end, Mena anticipates renewed momentum. This resilience in a historically soft quarter suggests Bitcoin is entering a new phase of stability, maturity, and sustained institutional interest.

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