Q2 2025 Could Ignite Altcoin Season as Bitcoin Dominance Nears Peak, Say Analysts

Analysts forecast a potential altcoin rally in Q2 2025, despite Bitcoin dominance remaining above 60%. Key market watchers advise patience and strategic accumulation for long-term altcoin gains.

As Bitcoin (BTC) continues to maintain a firm grip on the cryptocurrency market, many industry analysts are now suggesting that Q2 of 2025 could mark the beginning of a significant altcoin rally. Despite short-term setbacks and Bitcoin’s overwhelming dominance, some experts believe that the current market conditions are setting the stage for an impending “altcoin season.”

Altcoin market capitalization has plunged 40% from its all-time high, dipping below the $1 trillion mark. This has led to widespread losses among investors, especially those holding tokens outside the top-tier assets. However, some analysts view this downtrend not as a collapse, but as an accumulation opportunity.

Altcoin Sentiment Turns Cautiously Optimistic

Joao Wedson, founder of Alphractal, explained that although bearish sentiment has persisted since late 2024, he expects the market to heat up between April and May 2025.

“Since December 2024, we’ve been in a bear market. But I still believe the market will heat up for cryptos—even if BTC drops further,” Wedson commented, while warning against jumping into already surging assets like Ethereum (ETH), Solana (SOL), and Tron (TRX).

Instead, Wedson advocates a wait-and-see approach, focusing on strategic entries during dips rather than chasing rallies.

Similarly, experienced trader Merlijn drew parallels with the 2021 bull run, stating that the next 3–6 months could be “portfolio-defining” for altcoin investors.

Mixed Signals from Market Indicators

Despite the growing bullish sentiment, metrics from CoinMarketCap and Capriole Investments paint a different picture.

Capriole’s Altcoin Speculation Index has dropped to just 12%, a sharp decline from December’s 65%. ETH alone has lost 49% of its value since the start of 2025, tumbling from $3,490.

CoinMarketCap’s Altcoin Season Index currently reads 16 out of 100—a strong indication that the market remains heavily Bitcoin-focused. This metric tracks whether the top 100 altcoins have outperformed Bitcoin over a 90-day period.

Bitcoin Dominance Still a Key Driver

Bitcoin’s market dominance stands at 62.84% and shows no immediate signs of reversal. Historically, a drop in Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) is seen as a trigger for capital to flow into altcoins. However, some analysts argue the indicator has lost some of its predictive power.

Ash Crypto, a widely followed market analyst, suggests that Bitcoin’s dominance will need to reach 70% before it starts to reverse. That peak could act as a catalyst for the next wave of altcoin growth.

“Bitcoin dominance reaching its cycle top is a signpost. After that, altcoin season tends to follow,” Ash said.

The Outlook Ahead

While some signs point to further delays in an altcoin recovery, others suggest the groundwork is already being laid. If Bitcoin’s dominance indeed peaks in Q2 or Q3 of 2025, a sharp rotation into altcoins could follow—mirroring past market cycles.

Investors are encouraged to remain cautious, avoid hype-driven assets, and strategically position themselves for the long-term upside that an altcoin resurgence could bring.

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